Monthly Archives: April 2015

Master Chef of Investing
April 2015

In the popular TV program MasterChef, contestants face a series of cooking challenges. From low quality ingredients to inadequate preparation to poor implementation, so many things can and do go wrong.  It’s a bit like investing.

In the world of investment, there are customarily two broad approaches.  The first is a traditionally active one where managers attempt to find mispriced securities or seek to time their entry and exit points from various parts of the market.

This approach is akin to the challenge in MasterChef of having to invent a new and distinctive dish within a set time frame.  The apparent advantage for the chef in this challenge is flexibility of concept.

But what usually happens is that, once they have committed to their chosen recipe, the chef ends up racing against the clock and is locked into particular ingredients to create a single dish. Of course it may work out, but if they lose attention for a second, the dish is ruined and they have nothing to fall back on.

Likewise, in the investment world the traditionally active manager locks in on his best ideas.  He thus finds himself with little flexibility to move and is constricted by time as he is trying to trade on information he believes is not yet reflected in prices.  If it doesn’t work out, he may not have a Plan B.

If your primary goal is standing out from the crowd, you are going to build cost and complexity into your process.  In the cooking analogy, the price of your ingredients (out-of-season avocados for example) is going to be a secondary consideration to having an impact.  Once you’re committed to your distinctive dish, you may not be able to change tack.

The second approach in investing is when the investment manager seeks to track as closely as possible to a commercial index.  The goal here is not to stand out, so the manager will be most conscious of “tracking error” (deviating from the benchmark).

This approach is more akin to the challenge in MasterChef in which contestants have to cook a standard popular dish with set ingredients.  The focus in this case is not creativity, but following a set process as dictated by an outside party.

The ostensible advantage of the second approach is the chefs don’t have to conceive something completely new.  The ingredients (or securities in the case of the investment manager) are known and it is just a matter of assembling them.

But the drawback of this latter approach is the absence of flexibility.  The contestants can’t substitute one ingredient for another (or one stock for another).  The recipe must be followed as set.  What’s more, it must be achieved in a set timeframe.

The other disadvantage of this dictated menu is that it may not suit the clientele.  For instance, it may be the world’s best lasagne recipe made perfectly to order, but if your diners don’t care for Italian food you have a problem.

So what if we had a system that combined the creativity of the first approach with the simplicity of the second?  In this challenge, the focus shifts from being different for its own sake or following someone else’s recipe to drawing from a range of ingredients to produce a diverse menu suiting a range of tastes.

In this third approach, our contestants do not face unnecessary constraints either in terms of time or ingredients.  Instead, they assemble a broad selection of dishes from multiple  ingredients suitable for the season and at times of their choosing.

The difference under this way is that the chefs are focusing on what they can control and are eliminating elements that might restrict their choices.  Their ultimate goal is to efficiently and reliably provide meals that suit a range of palettes.

In the world of investing, this third way is the optimal approach.  Picking stocks and timing the market, like making brilliant-off-the-cuff meals in all conditions in an efficient and consistent manner, is a tough ask even for the masters.  Cooking meals off a provided menu, like the index managers, can be inflexible and costly.

The third way is akin to the Dimensional approach. Dimensional don’t have to outguess the market to get a good result.  They don’t have to lock in on a couple of their best ideas and hope they turn out.  Neither do they have to throw up their hands and contract the job out to a commercial index provider.

Dimensional can research the dimensions of expected return, design highly diverse portfolios that take advantage of those premiums and build flexibility into the system so that they efficiently and reliably serve up investment solutions for a wide range of needs.

Call it the MasterChef of investing.  That’s why we use them.

Written by Jim Parker (Vice President – DFA Australia Limited).  The author would like to than Marlena Lee for her inspiration for this article.

Notes and Risk Warnings

News articles are intended for educational purposes and should not be considered investment advice or an offer of any security for sale. This article is not intended as a personal recommendation of any particular security, strategy or investment product, which could only be given after consideration of individual financial circumstances and objectives. Information they contain has been obtained from sources believed to be reliable, but is not guaranteed.

Please remember that the value of investments and any income taken from them can go down as well as up. Exchange rates may also cause the value of underlying investments to fall as well as rise, and you may not get back the value of your original investment. Past performance is not indicative of future results and no representation is made that any stated results will be replicated.

Any reference to taxation is based on our understanding of the current position, which may change in the future, and articles will not be updated if tax legislation changes after their publication date. The current tax legislation affecting investments can only be considered as part of an individual advice service, as the actual tax position may be affected by individual circumstances. No reader should take any action based on the content of the publication without first obtaining personal advice from us or their own financial advisers.

Errors and omissions excepted.

Portfolio Valuations in Perspective
April 2015

Today, many investors have online access to their portfolios and can obtain all sorts of information about it.   In reality much of what they see is simply market noise.   The danger is that they get distracted by it and risk missing the wood (the benefit of a robust long-term investment strategy) for the trees (market noise).   Click here to view the ‘do’s and don’ts when looking at your portfolio valuation.’

This article was written by Tim Hale (Consultant to Russell Ulyatt)